Sadly, Bernie has dropped out, leaving us with Mr. Magoo vs Scrooge McDuck.
But who will win, let’s start with some statistics:
Total votes: 37,014,061
Democrats: 24,762,868
Republicans: 12,205,807
Libertarians: 32,611
Greens: 12,565
Other: 210
Neo Liberals’: 16,774,322
Neo Conservatives”: 11,708,394
Progressives!: 7,896,864
Libertarians~: 634,481
Donald Trump”: 11,708,247
Joe Biden’: 10,134,588
Bernie Sanders!: 7,719,341
Elizabeth Warren’: 2,482,350
Michael Bloomberg’: 2,427,609
Pete Buttigieg’: 831,939
Amy Klobuchar’: 484,558
Bill Weld~: 254,910
Tom Steyer’: 245,439
Joe Walsh~: 166,338
Tulsi Gabbard!: 164,895
Andrew Yang~: 104,356
Rocky De La Fuente~: 72,057
Michael Bennet’: 40,073
Julian Castro’: 36,304
Cory Booker’: 29,190
Marianne Williamson’: 21,395
Deval Patrick’: 18,527
John Delaney’: 15,682
Jacob Hornberger~: 8,805
Joe Sestak’: 5,226
Howie Hawkins!: 4,766
Mark Sanford~: 4,255
Vermin Supreme~: 4,047
Jo Jorgensen~: 3,829
Ken Armstrong~: 3,328
Dario Hunter!: 2,841
Kim Ruff~: 2,618
Adam Kokesh~: 2,380
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry!: 2,173
Dan Behrman~: 2,080
Dennis Lambert!: 1,953
Max Abramson~: 1,631
Sam Robb~: 1,478
Kamala Harris’: 844
David Rolde!: 832
Eric Gerhardt~: 737
John McAffee~: 580
Keenan Dunham~: 555
Steve Bullock’: 549
Arvin Vohra~: 287
Kenneth Blevins~: 199
Don Blankenship”: 141
Brian Carroll!: 53
Lincoln Chaffee’: 46
Other: 30 (3 Dem’/11 Lib~/6 Phb”/10 Oth!)
So to determine the outcome, we’re going to take 3 estimates, knowing that 12% of Bernie supporters voted for Trump in 2016:
First, we are going to conservatively assume that 75% of Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang supporters vote for Biden and that 75% of anti-Trump Republicans will vote for Trump, with 5% of Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang supporters voting Green, 5% voting Libertarian, 10% voting for Trump, and the remaining 5% staying home, with 20% of anti-Trump Republicans voting Libertarian, and the remaining 5% staying home.
That would lead to this:
Total votes: 36,092,194
Joe Biden: 22,765,720
Donald Trump: 12,382,716
Jacob Hornberger: 531,553
Howie Hawkins: 411,995
Other: 210
Now, we’re going to make a more liberal assumption that 50% of Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang supporters vote for Biden and that 50% of anti-Trump Republicans will vote for Trump, with 10% of Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang supporters voting Green, 10% voting Libertarian, 20% voting for Trump, and the remaining 10% staying home, with 40% of anti-Trump Republicans voting Libertarian, 5% voting for Biden, and the remaining 5% staying home.
That would lead to this:
Total votes: 36,196,323
Joe Biden: 20,823,450
Donald Trump: 13,542,745
Jacob Hornberger: 1,024,494
Howie Hawkins: 805,424
Other: 210
For our final assumption, we’re going to make out a realistic best case scenario for Trump, since Joe’s been in the lead for the past 2 scenarios:
50% of Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang supporters vote for Biden and that 75% of anti-Trump Republicans will vote for Trump, with 10% of Bernie, Tulsi, and Yang supporters voting Green, 10% voting Libertarian, 25% voting for Trump, and the remaining 5% staying home, with 20% of anti-Trump Republicans voting Libertarian, and the remaining 5% staying home.
That would lead to this:
Total votes: 36,592,753
Joe Biden: 20,798,572
Donald Trump: 14,063,565
Jacob Hornberger: 924,982
Howie Hawkins: 805,424
Other: 210
Even in this scenario, Biden wins by a landslide, so let’s come up with an unrealistic scenario to see what would be needed to get Trump another term:
As you can see, it would look like if 25% of Democrats voted for Trump and another 175,628 vote 3rd party or stay home to win by a single vote:
Total votes: 36,089,061
Republicans: 18,396,524
Democrats: 18,396,523
Libertarians: 132,611
Greens: 62,565
Other: 627
But if you thought that this is a guaranteed win for Biden, you’re wrong because not all votes are counted equally. You see, we have a thing called the electoral college that tells fairness to go **** itself and instead insists on using equity to ensure that small states have more of a say, which is retarded but considering you only need ~20% of the popular vote to win the election, Trump still has a chance.
But really, **** both of these candidates and vote Libertarian instead.
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